SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Nizhny Novgorod | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 15 | Ural Yekaterinburg | 2 | -5 | 0 |
| 16 | Torpedo Moskva | 2 | -6 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Fakel | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 13 | FC Krasnodar | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 14 | Nizhny Novgorod | 2 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 50.28%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 24.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.42%) and 1-2 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%), while for a Ural Yekaterinburg win it was 1-0 (7.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Krasnodar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ural Yekaterinburg | Draw | FC Krasnodar |
24.28% ( -0.01) | 25.44% ( -0.01) | 50.28% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 49.8% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.98% ( 0.01) | 53.02% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.39% ( 0.01) | 74.61% ( -0.01) |
| Ural Yekaterinburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.13% ( -0) | 36.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.34% ( -0) | 73.66% |
| FC Krasnodar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.89% ( 0.01) | 21.11% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.06% ( 0.02) | 53.94% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ural Yekaterinburg | Draw | FC Krasnodar |
| 1-0 @ 7.76% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.03% ( -0)2-0 @ 3.87% ( -0)3-1 @ 2% 3-2 @ 1.56% 3-0 @ 1.29% ( -0)Other @ 1.77% Total : 24.28% | 1-1 @ 12.07% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.78% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.69% Other @ 0.89% Total : 25.43% | 0-1 @ 12.1% 0-2 @ 9.42% ( 0)1-2 @ 9.4% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.88% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.87% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.43% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.9% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.9% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 2.44% Total : 50.27% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Zenit St PetersburgZenit | 25 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 65 | 13 | 52 | 61 |
| 2 | RostovRostov | 25 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 50 |
| 3 | Spartak Moscow | 25 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 55 | 32 | 23 | 49 |
| 4 | CSKA MoscowCSKA | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 46 | 23 | 23 | 48 |
| 5 | Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 40 |
| 6 | FC KrasnodarKrasnodar | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 53 | 41 | 12 | 39 |
| 7 | Dynamo Moscow | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 39 |
| 8 | OrenburgOrenburg | 24 | 11 | 3 | 10 | 47 | 48 | -1 | 36 |
| 9 | Sochi | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 32 | 44 | -12 | 31 |
| 10 | Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 29 |
| 11 | Ural YekaterinburgUral | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 26 |
| 12 | Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 25 | 40 | -15 | 25 |
| 13 | Nizhny Novgorod | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 27 | 48 | -21 | 22 |
| 14 | Fakel | 25 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 21 |
| 15 | KhimkiKhimki | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 23 | 52 | -29 | 17 |
| 16 | Torpedo Moskva | 24 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 13 |
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