SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Dynamo Moscow | 29 | 16 | 53 |
| 4 | FC Krasnodar | 29 | 12 | 49 |
| 5 | CSKA Moscow | 29 | 9 | 47 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | FC Krasnodar | 29 | 12 | 49 |
| 5 | CSKA Moscow | 29 | 9 | 47 |
| 6 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 29 | 3 | 45 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for FC Krasnodar had a probability of 33.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest FC Krasnodar win was 1-0 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Krasnodar | Draw | CSKA Moscow |
33.04% ( -0.21) | 25.15% ( -0.08) | 41.81% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 56.53% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.06% ( 0.3) | 46.94% ( -0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.81% ( 0.28) | 69.19% ( -0.28) |
| FC Krasnodar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.83% ( 0.01) | 27.16% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.43% ( 0.02) | 62.56% ( -0.02) |
| CSKA Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.62% ( 0.27) | 22.38% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.11% ( 0.4) | 55.88% ( -0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Krasnodar | Draw | CSKA Moscow |
| 1-0 @ 7.92% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 7.73% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.16% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 3.36% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 3.02% Total : 33.04% | 1-1 @ 11.86% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.08% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.14% | 0-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.88% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 6.81% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.43% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 3.4% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.66% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.29% Total : 41.81% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Zenit St PetersburgZenit | 29 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 73 | 20 | 53 | 67 |
| 2 | CSKA MoscowCSKA | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 52 | 26 | 26 | 55 |
| 3 | Spartak Moscow | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 53 |
| 4 | RostovRostov | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 44 | 38 | 6 | 50 |
| 5 | Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny | 28 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 49 |
| 6 | FC KrasnodarKrasnodar | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 60 | 44 | 16 | 47 |
| 7 | Dynamo Moscow | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 45 |
| 8 | OrenburgOrenburg | 29 | 13 | 4 | 12 | 55 | 55 | 0 | 43 |
| 9 | Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 47 | 43 | 4 | 39 |
| 10 | Sochi | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 38 |
| 11 | Ural YekaterinburgUral | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 33 |
| 12 | Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 29 |
| 13 | Fakel | 28 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 27 |
| 14 | Nizhny Novgorod | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 31 | 50 | -19 | 26 |
| 15 | KhimkiKhimki | 29 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 25 | 65 | -40 | 18 |
| 16 | Torpedo Moskva | 29 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 21 | 58 | -37 | 13 |
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