SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Krylia Sovetov | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 5 | FC Krasnodar | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Fakel | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Rostov | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Spartak Moscow | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | Orenburg | 1 | -2 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 39.45%. A win for Spartak Moscow had a probability of 34.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Spartak Moscow win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Krasnodar | Draw | Spartak Moscow |
39.45% ( 0.14) | 25.8% ( -0.22) | 34.74% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 54.71% ( 0.73) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.52% ( 0.93) | 49.47% ( -0.93) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.48% ( 0.83) | 71.51% ( -0.83) |
| FC Krasnodar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.3% ( 0.5) | 24.69% ( -0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.77% ( 0.69) | 59.22% ( -0.7) |
| Spartak Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.65% ( 0.49) | 27.34% ( -0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.19% ( 0.63) | 62.8% ( -0.64) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Krasnodar | Draw | Spartak Moscow |
| 1-0 @ 9.44% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 8.56% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 6.61% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 3.99% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.8% Total : 39.45% | 1-1 @ 12.24% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 6.75% ( -0.26)2-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.8% | 0-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 7.94% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.98% Total : 34.74% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FC KrasnodarKrasnodar | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 17 |
| 2 | Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 14 |
| 3 | Zenit St PetersburgZenit | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 13 |
| 4 | Ural YekaterinburgUral | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 13 |
| 5 | Dynamo Moscow | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 11 |
| 6 | CSKA MoscowCSKA | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 10 |
| 7 | Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 10 |
| 8 | Spartak Moscow | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 | Nizhny Novgorod | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 | Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 9 |
| 11 | RostovRostov | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
| 12 | Sochi | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 6 |
| 13 | Rubin Kazan | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 6 |
| 14 | Fakel | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 4 |
| 15 | Baltika | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 3 |
| 16 | OrenburgOrenburg | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 2 |
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