Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
13 | Spartak Moscow | 1 | 0 | 1 |
14 | Orenburg | 1 | -2 | 0 |
15 | Torpedo Moskva | 1 | -2 | 0 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
14 | Orenburg | 1 | -2 | 0 |
15 | Torpedo Moskva | 1 | -2 | 0 |
16 | Ural Yekaterinburg | 1 | -2 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orenburg win with a probability of 44.55%. A win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 30.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orenburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Ural Yekaterinburg win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Orenburg would win this match.
Result | ||
Orenburg | Draw | Ural Yekaterinburg |
44.55% ( 0.51) | 25.33% ( -0.05) | 30.11% ( -0.46) |
Both teams to score 54.63% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.15% ( 0) | 48.85% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.06% ( 0) | 70.94% |
Orenburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.09% ( 0.24) | 21.91% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.83% ( 0.36) | 55.17% ( -0.35) |
Ural Yekaterinburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.96% ( -0.32) | 30.04% ( 0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.83% ( -0.39) | 66.16% ( 0.39) |
Score Analysis |
Orenburg | Draw | Ural Yekaterinburg |
1-0 @ 9.99% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 7.59% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 4.62% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.36% Total : 44.55% | 1-1 @ 12.01% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.58% 2-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.33% | 0-1 @ 7.91% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 7.23% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.21% Total : 30.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Zenit St PetersburgZenit | 27 | 20 | 5 | 2 | 70 | 17 | 53 | 65 |
2 | CSKA MoscowCSKA | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 51 | 24 | 27 | 54 |
3 | Spartak Moscow | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 58 | 36 | 22 | 50 |
4 | RostovRostov | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 44 | 34 | 10 | 50 |
5 | FC KrasnodarKrasnodar | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 57 | 44 | 13 | 43 |
6 | Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 41 | 34 | 7 | 43 |
7 | Dynamo Moscow | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 44 | 35 | 9 | 42 |
8 | OrenburgOrenburg | 27 | 12 | 3 | 12 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 39 |
9 | Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 35 |
10 | Sochi | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 34 |
11 | Ural YekaterinburgUral | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 29 | 42 | -13 | 30 |
12 | Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 26 | 42 | -16 | 25 |
13 | Fakel | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 33 | 45 | -12 | 24 |
14 | Nizhny Novgorod | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 27 | 49 | -22 | 23 |
15 | KhimkiKhimki | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 25 | 59 | -34 | 18 |
16 | Torpedo Moskva | 27 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 52 | -32 | 13 |
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