SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Spartak Moscow | 29 | -3 | 38 |
| 11 | Ural Yekaterinburg | 29 | -9 | 30 |
| 12 | Nizhny Novgorod | 29 | -14 | 30 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Khimki | 29 | -14 | 29 |
| 14 | Rubin Kazan | 29 | -21 | 29 |
| 15 | FC Ufa | 29 | -12 | 27 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ural Yekaterinburg win with a probability of 49.55%. A win for Rubin Kazan had a probability of 25.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ural Yekaterinburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Rubin Kazan win was 0-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ural Yekaterinburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ural Yekaterinburg | Draw | Rubin Kazan |
49.55% ( -0.08) | 24.64% ( 0.02) | 25.81% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 53.71% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.4% ( -0.02) | 48.6% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.28% ( -0.02) | 70.72% ( 0.02) |
| Ural Yekaterinburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.36% ( -0.04) | 19.64% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.39% ( -0.07) | 51.61% ( 0.07) |
| Rubin Kazan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.84% ( 0.04) | 33.16% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.24% ( 0.05) | 69.76% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ural Yekaterinburg | Draw | Rubin Kazan |
| 1-0 @ 10.6% 2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.63% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.17% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.68% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.85% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.1% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.9% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 2.94% Total : 49.55% | 1-1 @ 11.7% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.64% | 0-1 @ 7.19% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.46% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.97% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.93% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.42% Total : 25.81% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FC KrasnodarKrasnodar | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 12 |
| 2 | Ural YekaterinburgUral | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Spartak Moscow | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 9 |
| 4 | Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 8 |
| 5 | RostovRostov | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 7 |
| 6 | CSKA MoscowCSKA | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 7 | Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 5 |
| 8 | Zenit St PetersburgZenit | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Dynamo Moscow | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 4 |
| 10 | Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 3 |
| 11 | Sochi | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 12 | Baltika | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 |
| 13 | Rubin Kazan | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 2 |
| 14 | Nizhny Novgorod | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| 15 | OrenburgOrenburg | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 1 |
| 16 | Fakel | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 0 |
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