SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 3 | -5 | 2 |
| 15 | Torpedo Moskva | 3 | -6 | 1 |
| 16 | Ural Yekaterinburg | 3 | -7 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Zenit St Petersburg | 3 | 8 | 7 |
| 2 | Spartak Moscow | 3 | 6 | 7 |
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 3 | 5 | 7 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 48.37%. A win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 26.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-2 (8.53%). The likeliest Ural Yekaterinburg win was 1-0 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartak Moscow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ural Yekaterinburg | Draw | Spartak Moscow |
26.56% ( 0.01) | 25.06% ( 0) | 48.37% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 53.06% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.23% ( -0.01) | 49.76% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.22% ( -0.01) | 71.77% ( 0.01) |
| Ural Yekaterinburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.83% ( -0) | 33.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.22% ( -0) | 69.77% ( 0) |
| Spartak Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.4% ( -0.01) | 20.6% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.85% ( -0.02) | 53.14% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ural Yekaterinburg | Draw | Spartak Moscow |
| 1-0 @ 7.54% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.57% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.16% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.42% 3-2 @ 1.91% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.53% ( 0)Other @ 2.43% Total : 26.56% | 1-1 @ 11.91% 0-0 @ 6.83% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.19% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.06% | 0-1 @ 10.79% 1-2 @ 9.41% ( -0)0-2 @ 8.53% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.96% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.49% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.96% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.77% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 2.65% Total : 48.37% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Zenit St PetersburgZenit | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 50 | 7 | 43 | 45 |
| 2 | Spartak Moscow | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 42 | 20 | 22 | 37 |
| 3 | RostovRostov | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 35 |
| 4 | Dynamo Moscow | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 33 | 21 | 12 | 29 |
| 5 | CSKA MoscowCSKA | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 29 |
| 6 | Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 29 |
| 7 | FC KrasnodarKrasnodar | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 25 |
| 8 | Sochi | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 25 |
| 9 | OrenburgOrenburg | 18 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 25 |
| 10 | Ural YekaterinburgUral | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
| 11 | Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 20 |
| 12 | Nizhny Novgorod | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 32 | -10 | 19 |
| 13 | Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 16 |
| 14 | Fakel | 18 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 22 | 34 | -12 | 14 |
| 15 | KhimkiKhimki | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 37 | -20 | 13 |
| 16 | Torpedo Moskva | 17 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 7 | 30 | -23 | 6 |
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