SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Nizhny Novgorod | 4 | -4 | 2 |
| 14 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 4 | -8 | 2 |
| 15 | Torpedo Moskva | 4 | -8 | 1 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Akhmat Grozny | 4 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | Krylia Sovetov | 4 | -3 | 4 |
| 11 | Orenburg | 4 | -3 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 47.62%. A win for Krylia Sovetov had a probability of 27.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Krylia Sovetov win was 0-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lokomotiv Moscow | Draw | Krylia Sovetov |
47.62% ( -0.03) | 24.77% ( -0) | 27.61% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 54.84% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.17% ( 0.02) | 47.83% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.99% ( 0.02) | 70.01% ( -0.03) |
| Lokomotiv Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.86% ( -0) | 20.14% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.59% ( -0) | 52.41% ( -0) |
| Krylia Sovetov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.67% ( 0.03) | 31.33% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.31% ( 0.04) | 67.69% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lokomotiv Moscow | Draw | Krylia Sovetov |
| 1-0 @ 10.11% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.4% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.1% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.02% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.33% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.92% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.01% 4-0 @ 1.73% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 2.82% Total : 47.62% | 1-1 @ 11.73% 0-0 @ 6.31% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.46% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.77% | 0-1 @ 7.32% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.81% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.25% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.63% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.64% ( 0)Other @ 2.84% Total : 27.61% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Zenit St PetersburgZenit | 27 | 20 | 5 | 2 | 70 | 17 | 53 | 65 |
| 2 | CSKA MoscowCSKA | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 51 | 24 | 27 | 54 |
| 3 | Spartak Moscow | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 58 | 36 | 22 | 50 |
| 4 | RostovRostov | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 44 | 35 | 9 | 50 |
| 5 | Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 44 | 34 | 10 | 46 |
| 6 | FC KrasnodarKrasnodar | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 57 | 44 | 13 | 43 |
| 7 | Dynamo Moscow | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 44 | 38 | 6 | 42 |
| 8 | OrenburgOrenburg | 27 | 12 | 3 | 12 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 39 |
| 9 | Sochi | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 37 |
| 10 | Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 36 |
| 11 | Ural YekaterinburgUral | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 29 | 42 | -13 | 30 |
| 12 | Fakel | 27 | 5 | 12 | 10 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 27 |
| 13 | Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 26 |
| 14 | Nizhny Novgorod | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 27 | 50 | -23 | 23 |
| 15 | KhimkiKhimki | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 25 | 59 | -34 | 18 |
| 16 | Torpedo Moskva | 27 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 52 | -32 | 13 |
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