SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Fakel | 9 | -7 | 7 |
| 15 | Ural Yekaterinburg | 9 | -13 | 4 |
| 16 | Torpedo Moskva | 9 | -17 | 1 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Zenit St Petersburg | 9 | 24 | 23 |
| 2 | CSKA Moscow | 9 | 13 | 20 |
| 3 | Rostov | 9 | 6 | 19 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 63.97%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Torpedo Moskva had a probability of 14.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.39%) and 1-2 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Torpedo Moskva win it was 1-0 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Torpedo Moskva | Draw | CSKA Moscow |
14.62% ( 0.14) | 21.41% ( 0.5) | 63.97% ( -0.64) |
| Both teams to score 46.06% ( -1.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.23% ( -1.77) | 49.76% ( 1.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.22% ( -1.61) | 71.77% ( 1.6) |
| Torpedo Moskva Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.11% ( -0.88) | 45.88% ( 0.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 18.36% ( -0.7) | 81.63% ( 0.7) |
| CSKA Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.11% ( -0.77) | 14.89% ( 0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 56.75% ( -1.49) | 43.24% ( 1.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| Torpedo Moskva | Draw | CSKA Moscow |
| 1-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 3.95% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 2.07% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.27% Total : 14.62% | 1-1 @ 10.13% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.48)2-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.68% Total : 21.4% | 0-1 @ 13.01% ( 0.58) 0-2 @ 12.39% ( 0.22)1-2 @ 9.65% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 7.87% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 6.13% ( -0.22)0-4 @ 3.75% ( -0.14)1-4 @ 2.92% ( -0.19)2-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.15)0-5 @ 1.43% ( -0.1)2-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.1)1-5 @ 1.11% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.2% Total : 63.97% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Zenit St PetersburgZenit | 27 | 20 | 5 | 2 | 70 | 17 | 53 | 65 |
| 2 | CSKA MoscowCSKA | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 51 | 24 | 27 | 54 |
| 3 | Spartak Moscow | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 58 | 36 | 22 | 50 |
| 4 | RostovRostov | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 44 | 34 | 10 | 50 |
| 5 | FC KrasnodarKrasnodar | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 57 | 44 | 13 | 43 |
| 6 | Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 41 | 34 | 7 | 43 |
| 7 | Dynamo Moscow | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 44 | 35 | 9 | 42 |
| 8 | OrenburgOrenburg | 27 | 12 | 3 | 12 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 39 |
| 9 | Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 35 |
| 10 | Sochi | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 34 |
| 11 | Ural YekaterinburgUral | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 29 | 42 | -13 | 30 |
| 12 | Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 26 | 42 | -16 | 25 |
| 13 | Fakel | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 33 | 45 | -12 | 24 |
| 14 | Nizhny Novgorod | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 27 | 49 | -22 | 23 |
| 15 | KhimkiKhimki | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 25 | 59 | -34 | 18 |
| 16 | Torpedo Moskva | 27 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 52 | -32 | 13 |
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