SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Fakel | 8 | -9 | 4 |
| 15 | Torpedo Moskva | 8 | -15 | 1 |
| 16 | Ural Yekaterinburg | 8 | -15 | 1 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Fakel | 8 | -9 | 4 |
| 15 | Torpedo Moskva | 8 | -15 | 1 |
| 16 | Ural Yekaterinburg | 8 | -15 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ural Yekaterinburg win with a probability of 46.76%. A win for Torpedo Moskva had a probability of 27.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ural Yekaterinburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Torpedo Moskva win was 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ural Yekaterinburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ural Yekaterinburg | Draw | Torpedo Moskva |
46.76% ( -0.17) | 26.08% ( -0.03) | 27.16% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 50.41% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.53% ( 0.26) | 53.46% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.01% ( 0.22) | 74.99% ( -0.22) |
| Ural Yekaterinburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.15% ( 0.03) | 22.85% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.42% ( 0.05) | 56.57% ( -0.05) |
| Torpedo Moskva Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.33% ( 0.31) | 34.66% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.6% ( 0.32) | 71.39% ( -0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ural Yekaterinburg | Draw | Torpedo Moskva |
| 1-0 @ 11.69% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.15% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.63% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 4.5% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.66% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.93% Total : 46.76% | 1-1 @ 12.38% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.92% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.07% | 0-1 @ 8.39% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.56% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.16% Total : 27.16% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Zenit St PetersburgZenit | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 50 | 7 | 43 | 45 |
| 2 | Spartak Moscow | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 45 | 22 | 23 | 40 |
| 3 | RostovRostov | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 35 |
| 4 | Dynamo Moscow | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 34 | 21 | 13 | 32 |
| 5 | CSKA MoscowCSKA | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 29 |
| 6 | Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 29 |
| 7 | OrenburgOrenburg | 19 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 28 |
| 8 | Sochi | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 28 |
| 9 | FC KrasnodarKrasnodar | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 26 |
| 10 | Ural YekaterinburgUral | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 25 |
| 11 | Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 20 |
| 12 | Nizhny Novgorod | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 32 | -10 | 19 |
| 13 | Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 35 | -11 | 19 |
| 14 | Fakel | 19 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 24 | 37 | -13 | 14 |
| 15 | KhimkiKhimki | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 37 | -20 | 13 |
| 16 | Torpedo Moskva | 19 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 9 | 33 | -24 | 7 |
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