SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Fakel | 8 | -9 | 4 |
| 15 | Torpedo Moskva | 7 | -14 | 1 |
| 16 | Ural Yekaterinburg | 8 | -15 | 1 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Dynamo Moscow | 8 | 8 | 16 |
| 6 | Rostov | 7 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | Sochi | 8 | 0 | 13 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rostov win with a probability of 42.16%. A win for Torpedo Moskva had a probability of 31.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rostov win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Torpedo Moskva win was 1-0 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Rostov in this match.
| Result | ||
| Torpedo Moskva | Draw | Rostov |
31.51% ( 1.1) | 26.34% ( 0.31) | 42.16% ( -1.41) |
| Both teams to score 52.06% ( -0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.52% ( -0.85) | 52.48% ( 0.85) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.85% ( -0.73) | 74.15% ( 0.73) |
| Torpedo Moskva Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.08% ( 0.34) | 30.92% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.79% ( 0.39) | 67.21% ( -0.39) |
| Rostov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.36% ( -1.07) | 24.64% ( 1.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.84% ( -1.53) | 59.16% ( 1.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Torpedo Moskva | Draw | Rostov |
| 1-0 @ 8.94% ( 0.38) 2-1 @ 7.35% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.27)3-1 @ 2.88% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 2.05% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0)Other @ 3.02% Total : 31.51% | 1-1 @ 12.52% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.25)2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.33% | 0-1 @ 10.67% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.77% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 7.47% ( -0.22)1-3 @ 4.1% ( -0.21)0-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.22)2-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.12)0-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.59% Total : 42.15% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Zenit St PetersburgZenit | 21 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 55 | 10 | 45 | 51 |
| 2 | Spartak Moscow | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 45 | 24 | 21 | 41 |
| 3 | RostovRostov | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 36 | 27 | 9 | 41 |
| 4 | CSKA MoscowCSKA | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 20 | 17 | 38 |
| 5 | Dynamo Moscow | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 35 |
| 6 | Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 33 |
| 7 | FC KrasnodarKrasnodar | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 44 | 35 | 9 | 32 |
| 8 | OrenburgOrenburg | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 41 | 41 | 0 | 32 |
| 9 | Sochi | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 31 |
| 10 | Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 25 |
| 11 | Ural YekaterinburgUral | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 33 | -9 | 25 |
| 12 | Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 21 |
| 13 | Nizhny Novgorod | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 23 | 41 | -18 | 19 |
| 14 | Fakel | 21 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 17 |
| 15 | KhimkiKhimki | 21 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 19 | 47 | -28 | 13 |
| 16 | Torpedo Moskva | 20 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 33 | -21 | 10 |
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