SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Fakel | 7 | -7 | 4 |
| 15 | Ural Yekaterinburg | 6 | -10 | 1 |
| 16 | Torpedo Moskva | 6 | -11 | 1 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Rostov | 6 | 3 | 12 |
| 7 | FC Krasnodar | 6 | 4 | 11 |
| 8 | Krylia Sovetov | 7 | -2 | 9 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 50.11%. A win for Torpedo Moskva had a probability of 25.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.59%) and 0-2 (8.5%). The likeliest Torpedo Moskva win was 1-0 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Krasnodar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Torpedo Moskva | Draw | FC Krasnodar |
25.67% ( 0.42) | 24.22% ( 0.11) | 50.11% ( -0.53) |
| Both teams to score 54.96% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.11% ( -0.1) | 46.89% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.86% ( -0.1) | 69.14% ( 0.09) |
| Torpedo Moskva Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.64% ( 0.29) | 32.36% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.13% ( 0.33) | 68.87% ( -0.33) |
| FC Krasnodar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.25% ( -0.25) | 18.74% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.87% ( -0.41) | 50.13% ( 0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Torpedo Moskva | Draw | FC Krasnodar |
| 1-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 6.46% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 2.43% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.58% Total : 25.67% | 1-1 @ 11.45% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.41% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.21% | 0-1 @ 10.15% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 9.59% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 8.5% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 5.35% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 4.74% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.24% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.99% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.26% Total : 50.11% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Zenit St PetersburgZenit | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 50 | 7 | 43 | 45 |
| 2 | Spartak Moscow | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 42 | 20 | 22 | 37 |
| 3 | RostovRostov | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 35 |
| 4 | Dynamo Moscow | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 34 | 21 | 13 | 32 |
| 5 | CSKA MoscowCSKA | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 29 |
| 6 | Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 29 |
| 7 | Sochi | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 28 |
| 8 | FC KrasnodarKrasnodar | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 26 |
| 9 | OrenburgOrenburg | 18 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 25 |
| 10 | Ural YekaterinburgUral | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
| 11 | Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 20 |
| 12 | Nizhny Novgorod | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 32 | -10 | 19 |
| 13 | Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 16 |
| 14 | Fakel | 18 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 22 | 34 | -12 | 14 |
| 15 | KhimkiKhimki | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 37 | -20 | 13 |
| 16 | Torpedo Moskva | 18 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 32 | -23 | 7 |
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