SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Zenit St Petersburg | 8 | 16 | 20 |
| 2 | CSKA Moscow | 8 | 10 | 17 |
| 3 | FC Krasnodar | 8 | 8 | 17 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | CSKA Moscow | 8 | 10 | 17 |
| 3 | FC Krasnodar | 8 | 8 | 17 |
| 4 | Spartak Moscow | 8 | 12 | 16 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 45.59%. A win for FC Krasnodar had a probability of 28.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest FC Krasnodar win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CSKA Moscow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| CSKA Moscow | Draw | FC Krasnodar |
45.59% ( -0.28) | 26.07% ( -0.03) | 28.34% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 51.26% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.25% ( 0.27) | 52.75% ( -0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.62% ( 0.23) | 74.38% ( -0.23) |
| CSKA Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.91% ( -0.01) | 23.08% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.07% ( -0.02) | 56.92% ( 0.02) |
| FC Krasnodar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.64% ( 0.38) | 33.35% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.02% ( 0.41) | 69.98% ( -0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| CSKA Moscow | Draw | FC Krasnodar |
| 1-0 @ 11.28% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 9.09% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.27% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 4.44% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.04% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.44% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.63% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.91% Total : 45.58% | 1-1 @ 12.39% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.7% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.07% | 0-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.8% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.43% Total : 28.34% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Zenit St PetersburgZenit | 29 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 73 | 20 | 53 | 67 |
| 2 | CSKA MoscowCSKA | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 52 | 26 | 26 | 55 |
| 3 | Spartak Moscow | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 53 |
| 4 | RostovRostov | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 44 | 38 | 6 | 50 |
| 5 | Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny | 28 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 49 |
| 6 | FC KrasnodarKrasnodar | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 60 | 44 | 16 | 47 |
| 7 | Dynamo Moscow | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 45 |
| 8 | OrenburgOrenburg | 29 | 13 | 4 | 12 | 55 | 55 | 0 | 43 |
| 9 | Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 47 | 43 | 4 | 39 |
| 10 | Sochi | 29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 38 |
| 11 | Ural YekaterinburgUral | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 33 |
| 12 | Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 29 |
| 13 | Fakel | 28 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 27 |
| 14 | Nizhny Novgorod | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 31 | 50 | -19 | 26 |
| 15 | KhimkiKhimki | 29 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 25 | 65 | -40 | 18 |
| 16 | Torpedo Moskva | 29 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 21 | 58 | -37 | 13 |
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