Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 44.96%. A win for CSKA Moscow had a probability of 29.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest CSKA Moscow win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
