SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 59.76%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 18.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.96%) and 2-0 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Ural Yekaterinburg win it was 0-1 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lokomotiv Moscow | Draw | Ural Yekaterinburg |
59.76% ( -0.02) | 21.48% ( 0) | 18.75% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 54.54% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.07% ( 0.02) | 42.93% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.67% ( 0.02) | 65.33% ( -0.02) |
| Lokomotiv Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.02% ( -0) | 13.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 58.52% | 41.48% |
| Ural Yekaterinburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.4% ( 0.03) | 36.6% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.61% ( 0.03) | 73.39% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lokomotiv Moscow | Draw | Ural Yekaterinburg |
| 1-0 @ 10.06% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.96% 2-0 @ 9.9% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.53% 3-0 @ 6.5% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.21% 4-0 @ 3.2% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.61% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.26% 5-0 @ 1.26% ( -0)Other @ 2.99% Total : 59.76% | 1-1 @ 10.11% 0-0 @ 5.12% ( -0)2-2 @ 5% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.48% | 0-1 @ 5.14% 1-2 @ 5.08% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.58% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.7% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0)Other @ 2.57% Total : 18.75% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FC KrasnodarKrasnodar | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 35 |
| 2 | Zenit St PetersburgZenit | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 33 |
| 3 | Dynamo Moscow | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 31 |
| 4 | Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 24 | 12 | 29 |
| 5 | CSKA MoscowCSKA | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 28 |
| 6 | Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 28 |
| 7 | Spartak Moscow | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
| 8 | Rubin Kazan | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 25 |
| 9 | Nizhny Novgorod | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 24 |
| 10 | Fakel | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 20 |
| 11 | RostovRostov | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 20 |
| 12 | Ural YekaterinburgUral | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
| 13 | Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
| 14 | OrenburgOrenburg | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 14 |
| 15 | Baltika | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 13 |
| 16 | Sochi | 17 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 10 |
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