SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Fakel | 9 | -7 | 7 |
| 15 | Ural Yekaterinburg | 9 | -13 | 4 |
| 16 | Torpedo Moskva | 9 | -17 | 1 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Nizhny Novgorod | 9 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Akhmat Grozny | 9 | -2 | 11 |
| 10 | Krylia Sovetov | 9 | -3 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ural Yekaterinburg win with a probability of 40.21%. A win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 32.78% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ural Yekaterinburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Akhmat Grozny win was 0-1 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ural Yekaterinburg | Draw | Akhmat Grozny |
40.21% ( 0.45) | 27.02% ( 0.15) | 32.78% ( -0.6) |
| Both teams to score 50.37% ( -0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.17% ( -0.7) | 54.83% ( 0.7) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.87% ( -0.58) | 76.13% ( 0.58) |
| Ural Yekaterinburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.26% ( -0.08) | 26.74% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.99% ( -0.1) | 62.01% ( 0.1) |
| Akhmat Grozny Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.76% ( -0.75) | 31.24% ( 0.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.41% ( -0.89) | 67.59% ( 0.89) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ural Yekaterinburg | Draw | Akhmat Grozny |
| 1-0 @ 11.01% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 3.72% 3-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.11% Total : 40.2% | 1-1 @ 12.82% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.22)2-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.92% Total : 27.02% | 0-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.46% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.96% Total : 32.78% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FC KrasnodarKrasnodar | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 17 |
| 2 | Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 14 |
| 3 | Zenit St PetersburgZenit | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 13 |
| 4 | Ural YekaterinburgUral | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 13 |
| 5 | Dynamo Moscow | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 11 |
| 6 | CSKA MoscowCSKA | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 10 |
| 7 | Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 10 |
| 8 | Spartak Moscow | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 | Nizhny Novgorod | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 | Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 9 |
| 11 | RostovRostov | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
| 12 | Sochi | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 6 |
| 13 | Rubin Kazan | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 6 |
| 14 | Fakel | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 4 |
| 15 | Baltika | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 3 |
| 16 | OrenburgOrenburg | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 2 |
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