SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Khimki | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 8 | Akhmat Grozny | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | FC Krasnodar | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Zenit St Petersburg | 3 | 8 | 7 |
| 2 | Spartak Moscow | 3 | 6 | 7 |
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 3 | 5 | 7 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 60.02%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 17.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.98%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for an Akhmat Grozny win it was 1-0 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Akhmat Grozny | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
17.71% ( -0.02) | 22.28% ( -0.03) | 60.02% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 50% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52% ( 0.07) | 48% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.83% ( 0.07) | 70.17% ( -0.07) |
| Akhmat Grozny Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.22% ( 0.02) | 40.78% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.64% ( 0.02) | 77.36% ( -0.02) |
| Zenit St Petersburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.42% ( 0.04) | 15.58% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 55.45% ( 0.07) | 44.55% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Akhmat Grozny | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
| 1-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 4.75% ( -0)2-0 @ 2.56% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.42% 3-2 @ 1.32% ( 0)Other @ 1.96% Total : 17.71% | 1-1 @ 10.59% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.35% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.42% ( 0)Other @ 0.91% Total : 22.27% | 0-1 @ 11.81% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 10.98% 1-2 @ 9.85% ( 0)0-3 @ 6.8% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 6.1% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 3.16% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.84% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.27% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.18% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 2.23% Total : 60.01% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FC KrasnodarKrasnodar | 12 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 28 |
| 2 | Zenit St PetersburgZenit | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 13 | 14 | 26 |
| 3 | Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 22 |
| 4 | Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 20 |
| 5 | Spartak Moscow | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 20 |
| 6 | CSKA MoscowCSKA | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 18 |
| 7 | Dynamo Moscow | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 18 |
| 8 | Nizhny Novgorod | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 17 |
| 9 | RostovRostov | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 16 |
| 10 | Ural YekaterinburgUral | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 16 |
| 11 | Rubin Kazan | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 16 |
| 12 | Fakel | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 15 |
| 13 | Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 12 |
| 14 | OrenburgOrenburg | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 |
| 15 | Baltika | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 11 |
| 16 | Sochi | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 9 |
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