Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 60.02%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 17.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.98%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for an Akhmat Grozny win it was 1-0 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.