Russian Premier League | Gameweek 5
Aug 14, 2022 at 1pm UK
Stadion Rodina
Khimki
1 - 3
Akhmat Grozny
Lomovitski (61')
Danilkin (20'), Chyorny (71')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Troshechkin (14'),
Shvets (43'), Timofeev (90+3')
Agalarov (84')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Khimki and Akhmat Grozny.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akhmat Grozny win with a probability of 37.29%. A win for Khimki had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Akhmat Grozny win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.88%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Khimki win was 1-0 (11.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Akhmat Grozny would win this match.
| Result |
| Khimki | Draw | Akhmat Grozny |
34.61% ( 0.05) | 28.1% ( -0.02) | 37.29% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 47.43% ( 0.07) |
| 41.32% ( 0.08) | 58.68% ( -0.08) |
| 20.78% ( 0.06) | 79.22% ( -0.06) |
| 68.03% ( 0.08) | 31.97% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.57% ( 0.09) | 68.43% ( -0.08) |
| 69.72% ( 0.02) | 30.28% ( -0.02) |
