SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Fakel | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Khimki | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Krylia Sovetov | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Torpedo Moskva | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Ural Yekaterinburg | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Zenit St Petersburg | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 63.72%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Khimki had a probability of 14.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.37%) and 1-2 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%), while for a Khimki win it was 1-0 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Khimki | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
14.74% ( 0.33) | 21.53% ( 0.33) | 63.72% ( -0.67) |
| Both teams to score 46% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.99% ( -0.68) | 50.01% ( 0.68) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.01% ( -0.61) | 71.98% ( 0.6) |
| Khimki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.15% ( 0.07) | 45.85% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 18.39% ( 0.05) | 81.6% ( -0.06) |
| Zenit St Petersburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.94% ( -0.44) | 15.05% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 56.45% ( -0.83) | 43.55% ( 0.82) |
| Score Analysis |
| Khimki | Draw | Zenit St Petersburg |
| 1-0 @ 5.38% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 3.97% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 2.1% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 1.28% Total : 14.74% | 1-1 @ 10.19% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 3.76% ( 0)Other @ 0.68% Total : 21.53% | 0-1 @ 13.06% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 12.37% ( -0.04)1-2 @ 9.65% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 7.81% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 6.09% ( -0.1)0-4 @ 3.7% ( -0.13)1-4 @ 2.88% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.04)0-5 @ 1.4% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.03)1-5 @ 1.09% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.15% Total : 63.71% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Zenit St PetersburgZenit | 19 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 53 | 9 | 44 | 48 |
| 2 | Spartak Moscow | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 45 | 22 | 23 | 40 |
| 3 | RostovRostov | 19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 38 |
| 4 | CSKA MoscowCSKA | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 32 |
| 5 | Dynamo Moscow | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 32 |
| 6 | FC KrasnodarKrasnodar | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 29 |
| 7 | Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 29 |
| 8 | OrenburgOrenburg | 19 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 28 |
| 9 | Sochi | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 28 |
| 10 | Ural YekaterinburgUral | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 25 |
| 11 | Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 20 |
| 12 | Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 35 | -11 | 19 |
| 13 | Nizhny Novgorod | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 19 |
| 14 | Fakel | 19 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 24 | 37 | -13 | 14 |
| 15 | KhimkiKhimki | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 19 | 40 | -21 | 13 |
| 16 | Torpedo Moskva | 19 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 9 | 33 | -24 | 7 |
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