Jul 24, 2022 at 6pm UK at Akhmat Arena
Akhmat Grozny
2 - 1
Fakel
Ilyin (37'), Agalarov (64')
Shvets (66')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Maksimov (27')
Akbashev (63'), Shavaev (74')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Akhmat Grozny and Fakel.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akhmat Grozny win with a probability of 41.96%. A win for Fakel had a probability of 31.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Akhmat Grozny win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Fakel win was 0-1 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Akhmat Grozny would win this match.
| Result |
| Akhmat Grozny | Draw | Fakel |
41.96% ( 0.04) | 26.74% ( 0.03) | 31.3% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 50.73% ( -0.13) |
| 45.85% ( -0.15) | 54.15% ( 0.15) |
| 24.43% ( -0.13) | 75.57% ( 0.12) |
| 74.51% ( -0.05) | 25.49% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.66% ( -0.06) | 60.34% ( 0.06) |
| 68.09% ( -0.13) | 31.91% ( 0.13) |
