SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 55.58%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 21.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.63%) and 2-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for an Akhmat Grozny win it was 1-2 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Krasnodar | Draw | Akhmat Grozny |
55.58% ( -0.32) | 22.49% ( 0.25) | 21.93% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 56.3% ( -0.76) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.95% ( -1.05) | 43.04% ( 1.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.55% ( -1.04) | 65.45% ( 1.04) |
| FC Krasnodar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.64% ( -0.47) | 15.35% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 55.87% ( -0.88) | 44.13% ( 0.88) |
| Akhmat Grozny Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.51% ( -0.52) | 33.49% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.87% ( -0.58) | 70.12% ( 0.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Krasnodar | Draw | Akhmat Grozny |
| 2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.63% ( 0.29)2-0 @ 9.03% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 6.17% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 5.64% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 2.89% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 2.64% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.08)5-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.68% Total : 55.58% | 1-1 @ 10.54% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.23)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.49% | 1-2 @ 5.77% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.63% ( 0.18)0-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.12% ( 0)Other @ 2.27% Total : 21.93% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Zenit St PetersburgZenit | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 50 | 7 | 43 | 45 |
| 2 | Spartak Moscow | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 45 | 22 | 23 | 40 |
| 3 | RostovRostov | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 35 |
| 4 | Dynamo Moscow | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 32 |
| 5 | CSKA MoscowCSKA | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 29 |
| 6 | FC KrasnodarKrasnodar | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 29 |
| 7 | Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 29 |
| 8 | OrenburgOrenburg | 19 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 28 |
| 9 | Sochi | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 28 |
| 10 | Ural YekaterinburgUral | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 25 |
| 11 | Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 20 |
| 12 | Nizhny Novgorod | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 32 | -10 | 19 |
| 13 | Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 35 | -11 | 19 |
| 14 | Fakel | 19 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 24 | 37 | -13 | 14 |
| 15 | KhimkiKhimki | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 37 | -20 | 13 |
| 16 | Torpedo Moskva | 19 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 9 | 33 | -24 | 7 |
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