SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akhmat Grozny win with a probability of 40.76%. A win for Dynamo Moscow had a probability of 32.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Akhmat Grozny win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Dynamo Moscow win was 0-1 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Akhmat Grozny would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Akhmat Grozny | Draw | Dynamo Moscow |
40.76% ( 1.08) | 26.84% ( -0.27) | 32.39% ( -0.81) |
| Both teams to score 50.79% ( 0.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.75% ( 0.87) | 54.25% ( -0.87) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.35% ( 0.73) | 75.65% ( -0.72) |
| Akhmat Grozny Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.83% ( 0.99) | 26.17% ( -0.99) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.75% ( 1.31) | 61.25% ( -1.31) |
| Dynamo Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.8% ( -0.1) | 31.2% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.46% ( -0.12) | 67.54% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Akhmat Grozny | Draw | Dynamo Moscow |
| 1-0 @ 10.94% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 8.55% ( 0.17)2-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 3.82% ( 0.18)3-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.23% Total : 40.76% | 1-1 @ 12.74% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 8.17% ( -0.28)2-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.83% | 0-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.36) 1-2 @ 7.42% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.22)1-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.96% Total : 32.39% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Zenit St PetersburgZenit | 27 | 20 | 5 | 2 | 70 | 17 | 53 | 65 |
| 2 | CSKA MoscowCSKA | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 51 | 24 | 27 | 54 |
| 3 | Spartak Moscow | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 58 | 36 | 22 | 50 |
| 4 | RostovRostov | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 44 | 35 | 9 | 50 |
| 5 | Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 44 | 34 | 10 | 46 |
| 6 | FC KrasnodarKrasnodar | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 57 | 44 | 13 | 43 |
| 7 | Dynamo Moscow | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 44 | 38 | 6 | 42 |
| 8 | OrenburgOrenburg | 27 | 12 | 3 | 12 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 39 |
| 9 | Sochi | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 37 |
| 10 | Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 36 |
| 11 | Ural YekaterinburgUral | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 29 | 42 | -13 | 30 |
| 12 | Fakel | 27 | 5 | 12 | 10 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 27 |
| 13 | Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 26 |
| 14 | Nizhny Novgorod | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 27 | 50 | -23 | 23 |
| 15 | KhimkiKhimki | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 25 | 59 | -34 | 18 |
| 16 | Torpedo Moskva | 27 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 52 | -32 | 13 |
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