Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 41.05%. A win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 31.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Akhmat Grozny win was 1-0 (9.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
