SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 36.7%. A win for Krylia Sovetov had a probability of 36.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.06%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Krylia Sovetov win was 1-0 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Krylia Sovetov | Draw | FC Krasnodar |
36.36% ( 0.05) | 26.94% ( -0.01) | 36.7% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 51.11% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.87% ( 0.05) | 54.13% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.45% ( 0.04) | 75.54% ( -0.04) |
| Krylia Sovetov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.39% ( 0.05) | 28.61% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.58% ( 0.07) | 64.42% ( -0.07) |
| FC Krasnodar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.59% ( -0) | 28.4% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.84% ( -0) | 64.16% |
| Score Analysis |
| Krylia Sovetov | Draw | FC Krasnodar |
| 1-0 @ 10.17% 2-1 @ 8.01% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.36% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.34% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.65% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 2.67% Total : 36.36% | 1-1 @ 12.8% 0-0 @ 8.13% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.94% | 0-1 @ 10.22% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.06% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.44% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.38% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.7% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0)Other @ 2.72% Total : 36.69% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Zenit St PetersburgZenit | 26 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 68 | 15 | 53 | 64 |
| 2 | CSKA MoscowCSKA | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 48 | 24 | 24 | 51 |
| 3 | RostovRostov | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 44 | 34 | 10 | 50 |
| 4 | Spartak Moscow | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 49 |
| 5 | Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 41 | 34 | 7 | 43 |
| 6 | FC KrasnodarKrasnodar | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 42 |
| 7 | Dynamo Moscow | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 44 | 35 | 9 | 42 |
| 8 | OrenburgOrenburg | 26 | 12 | 3 | 11 | 49 | 50 | -1 | 39 |
| 9 | Sochi | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 34 |
| 10 | Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 42 | 42 | 0 | 32 |
| 11 | Ural YekaterinburgUral | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 27 |
| 12 | Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 26 | 42 | -16 | 25 |
| 13 | Fakel | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 33 | 45 | -12 | 24 |
| 14 | Nizhny Novgorod | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 27 | 49 | -22 | 23 |
| 15 | KhimkiKhimki | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 24 | 58 | -34 | 17 |
| 16 | Torpedo Moskva | 26 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 20 | 49 | -29 | 13 |
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