SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Orenburg | 8 | -6 | 9 |
| 13 | Khimki | 8 | -6 | 7 |
| 14 | Fakel | 8 | -9 | 4 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Nizhny Novgorod | 8 | -2 | 9 |
| 11 | Krylia Sovetov | 8 | -3 | 9 |
| 12 | Orenburg | 8 | -6 | 9 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Krylia Sovetov win with a probability of 42.18%. A win for Khimki had a probability of 31.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Krylia Sovetov win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Khimki win was 1-0 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Khimki | Draw | Krylia Sovetov |
31.49% ( -0.02) | 26.32% ( 0.05) | 42.18% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 52.11% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.58% ( -0.24) | 52.41% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.9% ( -0.21) | 74.09% ( 0.2) |
| Khimki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.11% ( -0.14) | 30.89% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.82% ( -0.16) | 67.18% ( 0.15) |
| Krylia Sovetov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.4% ( -0.13) | 24.6% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.9% ( -0.18) | 59.09% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Khimki | Draw | Krylia Sovetov |
| 1-0 @ 8.93% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.35% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.88% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.05% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.02% Total : 31.49% | 1-1 @ 12.51% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.31% | 0-1 @ 10.65% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 8.78% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.47% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.11% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.6% Total : 42.18% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Zenit St PetersburgZenit | 22 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 57 | 11 | 46 | 54 |
| 2 | Spartak Moscow | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 50 | 28 | 22 | 45 |
| 3 | RostovRostov | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 40 | 30 | 10 | 45 |
| 4 | CSKA MoscowCSKA | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 42 | 21 | 21 | 44 |
| 5 | Dynamo Moscow | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 42 | 30 | 12 | 39 |
| 6 | FC KrasnodarKrasnodar | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 49 | 36 | 13 | 38 |
| 7 | Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 33 | 29 | 4 | 36 |
| 8 | OrenburgOrenburg | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 33 |
| 9 | Sochi | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 31 |
| 10 | Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 32 | 39 | -7 | 25 |
| 11 | Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 25 |
| 12 | Ural YekaterinburgUral | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 25 |
| 13 | Nizhny Novgorod | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 25 | 47 | -22 | 19 |
| 14 | Fakel | 22 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 17 |
| 15 | KhimkiKhimki | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 19 | 50 | -31 | 14 |
| 16 | Torpedo Moskva | 23 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 37 | -21 | 13 |
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