SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 47.01%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 29.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.65%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 2-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nottingham Forest | Draw | Manchester City |
29.81% ( -0.35) | 23.17% ( 0.03) | 47.01% ( 0.32) |
| Both teams to score 61.91% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.78% ( -0.35) | 39.21% ( 0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.45% ( -0.37) | 61.54% ( 0.37) |
| Nottingham Forest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.59% ( -0.4) | 25.4% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.78% ( -0.55) | 60.21% ( 0.54) |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.99% ( -0.02) | 17% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.87% ( -0.02) | 47.12% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nottingham Forest | Draw | Manchester City |
| 2-1 @ 7.18% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 5.92% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 4.05% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 1.85% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.49% Total : 29.81% | 1-1 @ 10.48% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.37% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.17% | 1-2 @ 9.29% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 7.65% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 6.78% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 5.49% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 4.01% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 3.76% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 2.43% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.77% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.16% Total : 47.01% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
