SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 63.62%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Puebla had a probability of 15.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Puebla win it was 0-1 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pachuca would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Pachuca | Draw | Puebla |
63.62% ( 1.6) | 20.45% ( -0.23) | 15.92% ( -1.37) |
| Both teams to score 52.13% ( -2.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.76% ( -1.51) | 43.23% ( 1.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.36% ( -1.51) | 65.63% ( 1.5) |
| Pachuca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.08% ( -0.01) | 12.92% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 60.64% ( -0.01) | 39.36% ( 0) |
| Puebla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.86% ( -2.6) | 40.13% ( 2.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.22% ( -2.46) | 76.77% ( 2.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pachuca | Draw | Puebla |
| 2-0 @ 10.85% ( 0.7) 1-0 @ 10.61% ( 0.69)2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.48)3-1 @ 6.76% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.25)4-1 @ 3.46% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.24)4-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.12)5-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.1)5-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.2% Total : 63.62% | 1-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.34)2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.35)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.12% Total : 20.45% | 0-1 @ 4.73% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.34)0-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.22)1-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.21)Other @ 1.88% Total : 15.92% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Club AmericaAmerica | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 33 | 14 | 19 | 33 |
| 2 | Tigres | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 30 | 14 | 16 | 28 |
| 3 | MonterreyMonterrey | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 23 |
| 4 | Atletico San Luis | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 22 |
| 5 | PumasPumas | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 21 |
| 6 | CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
| 7 | Club Leon | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 19 |
| 8 | TolucaToluca | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 18 |
| 9 | Juarez | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 18 |
| 10 | MazatlanMazatlan | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 16 |
| 11 | Atlas | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 | PueblaPuebla | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 16 |
| 13 | PachucaPachuca | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 16 |
| 14 | QueretaroQueretaro | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 15 |
| 15 | Club TijuanaTijuana | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 14 |
| 16 | Santos LagunaSantos Laguna | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 14 |
| 17 | Cruz AzulCruz Azul | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 14 |
| 18 | NecaxaNecaxa | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 11 |
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