Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 50.97%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Pachuca had a probability of 23.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Pachuca win it was 0-1 (7.97%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigres would win this match.
0.6) 
-0.09) 
