SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 40.15%. A win for Monterrey had a probability of 31.58% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Monterrey win was 0-1 (10.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pachuca would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Pachuca | Draw | Monterrey |
40.15% ( -1.05) | 28.27% ( 0.25) | 31.58% ( 0.8) |
| Both teams to score 46.35% ( -0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.27% ( -0.67) | 59.73% ( 0.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.97% ( -0.51) | 80.03% ( 0.51) |
| Pachuca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.9% ( -0.91) | 29.1% ( 0.91) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.98% ( -1.14) | 65.02% ( 1.14) |
| Monterrey Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.38% ( 0.23) | 34.62% ( -0.23) |
