Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Monterrey and Cruz Azul.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Monterrey 0-0 Mazatlan
Sunday, September 4 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Sunday, September 4 at 1.05am in Liga MX
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Club America | 12 | 15 | 25 |
| 2 | Monterrey | 13 | 12 | 25 |
| 3 | Pachuca | 12 | 8 | 24 |
Last Game: Juarez 2-2 Cruz Azul
Saturday, September 3 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Saturday, September 3 at 3.05am in Liga MX
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Club Leon | 12 | -7 | 12 |
| 15 | Cruz Azul | 12 | -12 | 12 |
| 16 | Atlas | 13 | -7 | 10 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 65.1%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 13.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.14%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Cruz Azul win it was 0-1 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Monterrey | Draw | Cruz Azul |
65.1% ( 0.75) | 21.37% ( 0.15) | 13.52% ( -0.91) |
| Both teams to score 43.5% ( -2.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.28% ( -2.38) | 51.71% ( 2.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.5% ( -2.1) | 73.49% ( 2.1) |
| Monterrey Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.83% ( -0.54) | 15.17% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 56.22% ( -1.03) | 43.77% ( 1.02) |
| Cruz Azul Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.27% ( -2.82) | 48.72% ( 2.82) |
