SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Monterrey | 12 | 12 | 24 |
| 2 | Club America | 11 | 14 | 22 |
| 3 | Santos Laguna | 11 | 12 | 22 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Cruz Azul | 12 | -12 | 12 |
| 15 | Mazatlan | 11 | -3 | 11 |
| 16 | Atlas | 12 | -7 | 9 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 65.6%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 13.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.08%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%), while for a Mazatlan win it was 0-1 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Monterrey | Draw | Mazatlan |
65.6% ( -0.11) | 21.05% ( 0.04) | 13.36% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 43.99% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.2% ( -0.01) | 50.8% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.31% ( -0) | 72.69% ( 0.01) |
| Monterrey Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.29% ( -0.03) | 14.71% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.09% ( -0.07) | 42.91% ( 0.07) |
| Mazatlan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.58% ( 0.11) | 48.42% ( -0.11) |
