Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Pachuca and Toluca.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 65.71%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 14.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.51%), while for a Toluca win it was 0-1 (4.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pachuca would win this match.
| Result |
| Pachuca | Draw | Toluca |
65.71% ( 0.14) | 20% ( 0.08) | 14.29% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 49.63% ( -0.81) |
| 55.49% ( -0.8) | 44.51% ( 0.8) |
| 33.12% ( -0.78) | 66.88% ( 0.78) |
| 87.29% ( -0.2) | 12.71% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 61.07% ( -0.42) | 38.92% ( 0.42) |
| 56.86% ( -0.8) | 43.14% ( 0.8) |
