Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puebla win with a probability of 36.59%. A win for Pachuca had a probability of 35.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Puebla win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.91%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Pachuca win was 0-1 (10.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
