Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 44.41%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (7.62%). The likeliest Puebla win was 1-0 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Pachuca in this match.
