SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puebla win with a probability of 52.04%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Pumas had a probability of 22.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Puebla win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Pumas win it was 0-1 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Puebla would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Puebla | Draw | Pumas |
52.04% ( 0.26) | 25.17% ( -0.11) | 22.79% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 49% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.73% ( 0.26) | 53.27% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.18% ( 0.22) | 74.82% ( -0.22) |
| Puebla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.53% ( 0.21) | 20.47% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.06% ( 0.34) | 52.94% ( -0.33) |
| Pumas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.61% ( 0) | 38.39% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.86% | 75.14% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Puebla | Draw | Pumas |
| 1-0 @ 12.46% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 9.89% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 5.01% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.07% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.99% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.59% Total : 52.04% | 1-1 @ 11.93% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.86% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.84% Total : 25.16% | 0-1 @ 7.52% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.45% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.54% Total : 22.79% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Club AmericaAmerica | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 38 |
| 2 | MonterreyMonterrey | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 35 |
| 3 | Santos LagunaSantos Laguna | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 33 |
| 4 | PachucaPachuca | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 32 |
| 5 | Tigres | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 30 |
| 6 | TolucaToluca | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 27 |
| 7 | Cruz AzulCruz Azul | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 24 |
| 8 | PueblaPuebla | 17 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 22 |
| 9 | CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
| 10 | Club Leon | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 22 |
| 11 | Juarez | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
| 12 | NecaxaNecaxa | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
| 13 | Atletico San Luis | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 18 |
| 14 | MazatlanMazatlan | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 17 |
| 15 | Club TijuanaTijuana | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 17 |
| 16 | PumasPumas | 17 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 14 |
| 17 | Atlas | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 13 |
| 18 | QueretaroQueretaro | 17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 35 | -17 | 9 |
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