Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puebla win with a probability of 49.88%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Pumas had a probability of 24.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Puebla win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Pumas win it was 0-1 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
