SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 39.29%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 36.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.94%) and 2-0 (5.98%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Salford City |
39.29% ( 0.41) | 24.55% ( -0.15) | 36.17% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 59.33% ( 0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.39% ( 0.7) | 43.61% ( -0.7) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34% ( 0.68) | 66% ( -0.68) |
| Doncaster Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.84% ( 0.51) | 22.16% ( -0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.44% ( 0.76) | 55.56% ( -0.76) |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.22% ( 0.19) | 23.78% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.06% ( 0.27) | 57.94% ( -0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Salford City |
| 2-1 @ 8.59% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 7.94% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 5.98% 3-1 @ 4.32% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.42% Total : 39.29% | 1-1 @ 11.4% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.07)0-0 @ 5.27% ( -0.16)3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.55% | 1-2 @ 8.19% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 7.57% ( -0.19)0-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 3.92% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.08% Total : 36.17% |
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