SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 53.46%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 22.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Doncaster Rovers win it was 0-1 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Salford City | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
53.46% ( 0.01) | 24.18% ( -0.01) | 22.35% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.4% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.18% ( 0.02) | 49.81% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.18% ( 0.01) | 71.81% ( -0.01) |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.43% ( 0.01) | 18.56% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.17% ( 0.02) | 49.82% ( -0.02) |
| Doncaster Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.12% ( 0) | 36.87% ( -0) |
