SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 59.97%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 19.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.9%) and 0-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.43%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 2-1 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Notts County |
19.41% ( -0.02) | 20.61% ( -0.01) | 59.97% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 58.8% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.12% ( 0.04) | 37.88% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.86% ( 0.04) | 60.13% ( -0.04) |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.05% ( 0.01) | 32.95% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.47% ( 0.01) | 69.53% ( -0.01) |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.69% ( 0.02) | 12.31% ( -0.02) |
