SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 34.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.85%) and 0-2 (5.8%). The likeliest Notts County win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Notts County | Draw | Mansfield Town |
34.49% ( 0.35) | 23.29% ( -0.02) | 42.22% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 63.67% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.19% ( 0.21) | 37.8% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.94% ( 0.23) | 60.05% ( -0.22) |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.99% ( 0.29) | 22.01% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.68% ( 0.43) | 55.32% ( -0.43) |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.64% ( -0.05) | 18.36% ( 0.05) |
