SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 70.32%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Elche had a probability of 10.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.8%) and 3-0 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.93%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (4.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Valencia | Draw | Elche |
70.32% ( 0.02) | 19.09% ( -0.02) | 10.59% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 41.52% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.62% ( 0.06) | 49.38% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.58% ( 0.06) | 71.42% ( -0.06) |
| Valencia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.16% ( 0.03) | 12.84% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 60.8% ( 0.05) | 39.2% ( -0.05) |
| Elche Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.63% ( 0.04) | 52.36% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 13.76% ( 0.03) | 86.24% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Valencia | Draw | Elche |
| 2-0 @ 14.16% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 13.8% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 9.69% ( 0)2-1 @ 9.16% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.27% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 4.97% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.22% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 2.04% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.03% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.32% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 2.61% Total : 70.32% | 1-1 @ 8.93% ( -0) 0-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 2.96% ( 0)Other @ 0.48% Total : 19.09% | 0-1 @ 4.35% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 2.89% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.41% Other @ 1.94% Total : 10.59% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
| 7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
| 9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
| 11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
| 12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
| 13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
| 14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
| 15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
| 16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
| 17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
| 18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
| R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
| R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
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