Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Elche had a probability of 29.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Elche win was 1-0 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
