SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 66.37%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Elche had a probability of 12.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.12%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Elche |
66.37% ( -0.01) | 21.39% ( 0) | 12.23% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 40.08% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.61% | 54.39% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.23% | 75.77% ( -0) |
| Rayo Vallecano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.35% ( -0) | 15.65% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.32% ( -0.01) | 44.67% ( 0) |
| Elche Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.52% ( 0.01) | 52.48% ( -0.01) |
