SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 36.99%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 35.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (10.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Valencia | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
36.99% ( -0.01) | 27.51% ( 0.01) | 35.5% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 49.3% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.62% ( -0.05) | 56.38% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.6% ( -0.04) | 77.4% ( 0.04) |
| Valencia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.67% ( -0.03) | 29.33% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.7% ( -0.04) | 65.3% ( 0.04) |
| Athletic Bilbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.76% ( -0.02) | 30.24% ( 0.02) |
