SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 38.67%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 35.28% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Valencia | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
38.67% ( 0.37) | 26.05% ( -0.38) | 35.28% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 53.97% ( 1.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.54% ( 1.61) | 50.46% ( -1.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.61% ( 1.41) | 72.39% ( -1.41) |
| Valencia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.44% ( 0.95) | 25.56% ( -0.95) |
