SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 37.6%. A win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 35.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Gijon | Draw | Valencia |
35.47% ( 0.7) | 26.93% ( -0.2) | 37.6% ( -0.51) |
| Both teams to score 51.1% ( 0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.88% ( 0.83) | 54.12% ( -0.83) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.46% ( 0.69) | 75.54% ( -0.69) |
| Sporting Gijon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.85% ( 0.85) | 29.15% ( -0.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.91% ( 1.03) | 65.08% ( -1.04) |
| Valencia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.12% ( 0.1) | 27.87% ( -0.1) |
