SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 65.57%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 12.84%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.76%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Cadiz |
65.57% ( 1.51) | 21.59% ( -0.42) | 12.84% ( -1.09) |
| Both teams to score 41.15% ( -1.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.1% ( -0.52) | 53.9% ( 0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.64% ( -0.44) | 75.35% ( 0.44) |
| Athletic Bilbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.25% ( 0.33) | 15.75% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 55.14% ( 0.6) | 44.86% ( -0.59) |
| Cadiz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.85% ( -2.05) | 51.15% ( 2.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 14.55% ( -1.41) | 85.44% ( 1.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Cadiz |
| 1-0 @ 14.89% ( 0.47) 2-0 @ 13.76% ( 0.58)2-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.44)3-1 @ 5.68% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.25)4-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.13)5-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.11)5-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.66% Total : 65.56% | 1-1 @ 9.98% ( -0.28) 0-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.24)Other @ 0.46% Total : 21.59% | 0-1 @ 5.4% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.3)0-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.19)Other @ 2.29% Total : 12.84% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
| 7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
| 9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
| 11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
| 12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
| 13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
| 14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
| 15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
| 16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
| 17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
| 18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
| R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
| R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
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