SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cadiz win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 28.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cadiz win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Almeria win was 0-1 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Cadiz | Draw | Almeria |
45.57% ( 1.05) | 26.29% ( -0.69) | 28.14% ( -0.36) |
| Both teams to score 50.47% ( 1.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.29% ( 2.44) | 53.71% ( -2.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.8% ( 2.02) | 75.19% ( -2.02) |
| Cadiz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.49% ( 1.58) | 23.51% ( -1.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.45% ( 2.24) | 57.54% ( -2.24) |
| Almeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.99% ( 1.02) | 34.01% ( -1.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.31% ( 1.08) | 70.69% ( -1.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cadiz | Draw | Almeria |
| 1-0 @ 11.57% ( -0.58) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.23)2-0 @ 8.38% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.36% ( 0.3)3-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.17)3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.22)4-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.18)4-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.13)Other @ 2.77% Total : 45.56% | 1-1 @ 12.48% ( -0.26) 0-0 @ 8% ( -0.79)2-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.25)Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.28% | 0-1 @ 8.62% ( -0.6) 1-2 @ 6.73% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.19)1-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.14)0-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.3% Total : 28.14% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
| 7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
| 9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
| 11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
| 12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
| 13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
| 14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
| 15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
| 16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
| 17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
| 18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
| R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
| R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
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