SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 46.66%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 27.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Almeria | Draw | Celta Vigo |
46.66% ( -0.01) | 25.82% | 27.52% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.46% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.78% ( 0) | 52.22% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.07% | 73.93% ( -0) |
| Almeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.63% ( -0) | 22.36% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.14% ( -0.01) | 55.86% ( 0.01) |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.28% ( 0.01) | 33.71% ( -0.01) |
