SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 54.45%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 20.43%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Almeria in this match.
| Result | ||
| Almeria | Draw | Getafe |
54.45% ( -0.37) | 25.13% ( 0.08) | 20.43% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 46.12% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.49% ( 0.01) | 55.51% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.31% ( 0.01) | 76.69% ( -0.01) |
| Almeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.62% ( -0.14) | 20.38% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.2% ( -0.23) | 52.8% ( 0.23) |
| Getafe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.93% ( 0.32) | 42.07% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.5% ( 0.27) | 78.5% ( -0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Almeria | Draw | Getafe |
| 1-0 @ 13.63% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 10.84% ( -0.1)2-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 4.98% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.29% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.42% Total : 54.43% | 1-1 @ 11.8% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.57% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.07% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.68% Total : 25.12% | 0-1 @ 7.42% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.1% Total : 20.43% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
| 7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
| 9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
| 11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
| 12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
| 13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
| 14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
| 15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
| 16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
| 17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
| 18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
| R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
| R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
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