SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 41.8%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-0 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
30.92% ( 0.11) | 27.28% ( 0.14) | 41.8% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 48.96% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.66% ( -0.5) | 56.34% ( 0.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.63% ( -0.4) | 77.37% ( 0.41) |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.69% ( -0.18) | 33.31% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.07% ( -0.2) | 69.93% ( 0.2) |
| Athletic Bilbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.42% ( -0.36) | 26.58% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.19% ( -0.48) | 61.8% ( 0.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
| 1-0 @ 9.74% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 7.09% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.35% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 2.6% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.47% Total : 30.92% | 1-1 @ 12.89% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.28% | 0-1 @ 11.73% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 8.54% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 7.77% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.08% Total : 41.79% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
| 7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
| 9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
| 11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
| 12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
| 13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
| 14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
| 15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
| 16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
| 17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
| 18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
| R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
| R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
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